Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Sociedad with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 5 (before the first match) against those on February 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 54.0% | 65.9% | +11.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 77.3% | 88.9% | +11.6 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 17.4% | 27.3% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 44.2% | 35.1% | −9.1 |
| Girona | Champion | 17.0% | 8.5% | −8.5 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 11.8% | 5.1% | −6.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 13.4% | 7.3% | −6.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 18.0% | 12.5% | −5.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 4.2% | 8.7% | +4.5 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 16.8% | 13.4% | −3.4 |
