Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Sevilla with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Relegation | 31.6% | 20.2% | −11.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 35.3% | 24.5% | −10.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 61.9% | 72.4% | +10.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 23.9% | 34.1% | +10.1 |
| Almería | Relegation | 35.3% | 44.8% | +9.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 38.4% | 46.9% | +8.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 39.6% | 48.2% | +8.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.8% | 10.6% | −8.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 20.8% | 28.7% | +8.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 38.2% | 45.9% | +7.7 |
