Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Rayo Vallecano with a 24.6% chance, Mallorca beat Osasuna with a 17.4% chance, and Villarreal beat Barcelona with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 3.9% | 100% | +96.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 50.9% | 0% | −50.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 45.2% | 0% | −45.2 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 23.3% | 0% | −23.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 23.3% | 0% | −23.3 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 76.7% | 100% | +23.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 76.7% | 100% | +23.3 |
