Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Villarreal with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 12 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 75.3% | 45.2% | −30.1 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 26.7% | 0% | −26.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 55.5% | 76.7% | +21.2 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 33.1% | 50.9% | +17.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 90.7% | 100% | +9.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 15.0% | 23.3% | +8.3 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 17.8% | 23.3% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 80.7% | 76.7% | −4.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 3.3% | 0% | −3.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 0.7% | 3.9% | +3.2 |
