Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 2 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 44.8% | 80.7% | +36.0 |
| Granada | Relegation | 33.2% | 9.4% | −23.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 38.3% | 15.8% | −22.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 77.4% | 97.9% | +20.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 51.5% | 67.0% | +15.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 16.4% | 2.0% | −14.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 13.1% | 1.0% | −12.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 85.0% | 95.9% | +10.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 10.7% | 1.2% | −9.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Conference League | 5.7% | 0.1% | −5.6 |
