Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 16 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 30.1% | 15.3% | −14.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.1% | 66.2% | +8.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 37.9% | 45.8% | +7.9 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 23.3% | 15.4% | −7.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 75.1% | 83.0% | +7.9 |
| Elche | Relegation | 11.7% | 4.8% | −6.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 18.2% | 22.9% | +4.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 69.8% | 74.2% | +4.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 17.7% | 14.0% | −3.7 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 9.1% | 12.5% | +3.4 |
