Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Athletic Club with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 7 (before the first match) against those on February 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 30.5% | 20.1% | −10.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 63.1% | 55.1% | −8.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 36.0% | 43.7% | +7.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 75.5% | 69.7% | −5.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 48.8% | 54.2% | +5.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 21.6% | 26.8% | +5.3 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 18.3% | 23.3% | +5.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 8.7% | 4.0% | −4.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 79.4% | 74.7% | −4.6 |
| Elche | Relegation | 6.6% | 10.5% | +3.9 |
