Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Levante with a 24.4% chance and Osasuna beat Granada with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 20 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 77.2% | 62.9% | −14.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 31.6% | 22.5% | −9.1 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 40.4% | 49.5% | +9.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 82.9% | 91.1% | +8.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 37.7% | 45.0% | +7.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 60.1% | 65.2% | +5.1 |
| Elche | Relegation | 18.2% | 14.5% | −3.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 5.2% | 1.6% | −3.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 56.8% | 60.4% | +3.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 6.5% | 3.4% | −3.1 |
