Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Barcelona with a 20.3% chance and Mallorca beat Atlético Madrid with a 7.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 22.2% | 37.6% | +15.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 56.5% | 70.2% | +13.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 44.8% | 32.8% | −12.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 31.9% | 20.1% | −11.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 52.5% | 64.2% | +11.7 |
| Elche | Relegation | 47.0% | 35.5% | −11.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 78.8% | 69.5% | −9.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 16.6% | 7.4% | −9.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 55.6% | 47.0% | −8.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 80.6% | 86.7% | +6.1 |
