Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Sociedad with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 67.1% | 55.3% | −11.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 33.0% | 43.6% | +10.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 43.2% | 53.1% | +9.9 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 27.7% | 18.2% | −9.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 45.1% | 52.4% | +7.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 72.0% | 79.0% | +7.0 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 13.8% | 7.1% | −6.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 61.9% | 67.7% | +5.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 11.8% | 6.9% | −4.9 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 17.7% | 22.5% | +4.9 |
