Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Valencia with a 24.3% chance, Real Madrid beat Barcelona with a 23.6% chance, Eibar beat Sevilla with a 12.7% chance, and Deportivo Alavés beat Real Valladolid with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.9% | 48.3% | −13.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.0% | 68.5% | +13.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 43.3% | 30.3% | −13.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 34.5% | 47.3% | +12.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 44.9% | 33.8% | −11.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.9% | 11.2% | −10.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 41.6% | 51.7% | +10.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 36.6% | 45.7% | +9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 17.5% | 26.4% | +8.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 54.0% | 62.7% | +8.7 |
