Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Eibar with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 18.4% | 8.7% | −9.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 51.7% | 60.9% | +9.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 33.8% | 24.8% | −9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 62.7% | 71.5% | +8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 48.3% | 40.9% | −7.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 27.8% | 35.1% | +7.3 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 17.6% | 24.6% | +7.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 68.5% | 74.8% | +6.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 12.9% | 6.7% | −6.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 47.3% | 53.3% | +6.0 |
