Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Valencia with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.0% | 68.1% | +12.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 25.7% | 36.5% | +10.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 30.7% | 20.1% | −10.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.3% | 25.2% | +9.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 37.2% | 27.5% | −9.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 40.2% | 31.2% | −9.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 17.9% | 26.5% | +8.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 27.7% | 35.7% | +8.0 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 32.7% | 24.7% | −8.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 8.4% | 15.9% | +7.4 |
