Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Getafe with a 17.9% chance and Osasuna beat Villarreal with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 7 (before the first match) against those on April 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | Relegation | 59.4% | 39.9% | −19.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.8% | 33.8% | +14.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 31.2% | 18.7% | −12.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 31.9% | 43.3% | +11.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 44.6% | 55.4% | +10.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 33.9% | 23.5% | −10.4 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 72.3% | 81.7% | +9.4 |
| Elche | Relegation | 41.9% | 51.3% | +9.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 6.9% | 1.4% | −5.5 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 30.7% | 36.0% | +5.4 |
