Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 18 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 53.9% | 30.6% | −23.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 37.0% | 59.9% | +22.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 40.6% | 22.3% | −18.3 |
| Elche | Relegation | 59.1% | 68.1% | +9.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 35.2% | 26.7% | −8.6 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 85.9% | 92.9% | +7.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 50.5% | 55.9% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 22.1% | 17.4% | −4.7 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 32.2% | 36.5% | +4.3 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 30.2% | 34.1% | +3.9 |
