Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Huesca beat Levante with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 21 (before the first match) against those on April 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | Relegation | 77.7% | 59.4% | −18.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 61.4% | 76.2% | +14.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 16.4% | 31.2% | +14.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 59.8% | 46.1% | −13.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 12.6% | 4.8% | −7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 26.2% | 33.9% | +7.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 88.8% | 95.3% | +6.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 51.0% | 44.6% | −6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.8% | 19.8% | +6.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 25.3% | 31.0% | +5.7 |
