Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Osasuna with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 30.4% | 19.2% | −11.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 42.6% | 53.6% | +11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 55.9% | 66.7% | +10.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.3% | −10.5 |
| Elche | Relegation | 38.5% | 48.2% | +9.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 16.9% | 25.8% | +8.9 |
| Granada | Champions League | 22.8% | 14.2% | −8.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 31.0% | 39.0% | +8.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.6% | 51.2% | +7.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 22.6% | 15.3% | −7.3 |
