Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Valencia with a 21.2% chance and Cádiz beat Huesca with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on March 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 41.8% | >99.9% | +58.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 6.6% | 61.1% | +54.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 12.3% | 65.3% | +53.0 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 19.3% | 68.3% | +49.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 51.2% | 98.7% | +47.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 41.4% | 87.0% | +45.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 54.4% | 99.5% | +45.1 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 32.8% | 74.1% | +41.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 40.8% | <0.1% | −40.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 45.7% | 11.2% | −34.5 |
