Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on March 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 61.1% | 51.0% | −10.1 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 11.6% | 21.6% | +10.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 17.7% | 25.3% | +7.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 20.0% | 26.2% | +6.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 65.3% | 59.8% | −5.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 13.3% | 8.2% | −5.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 56.3% | 61.4% | +5.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 11.4% | 16.4% | +5.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 44.3% | 39.6% | −4.7 |
| Levante | Conference League | 6.2% | 1.9% | −4.3 |
