Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 28.9% | 16.1% | −12.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 70.7% | 83.2% | +12.5 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 59.0% | 68.3% | +9.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 23.0% | 14.3% | −8.7 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 39.3% | 31.0% | −8.3 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 24.9% | 33.1% | +8.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 73.1% | 65.1% | −7.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 5.7% | 11.2% | +5.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 53.5% | 58.3% | +4.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 35.8% | 31.1% | −4.7 |
