Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Sevilla with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 55.3% | 39.4% | −16.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 58.4% | 73.3% | +14.9 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 44.8% | 58.4% | +13.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 48.2% | 35.3% | −12.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 83.8% | 71.7% | −12.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 25.7% | 14.8% | −10.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.1% | 28.2% | +10.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 47.2% | 57.3% | +10.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 13.1% | 22.0% | +8.9 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 30.3% | 39.1% | +8.7 |
