Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 59.8% | 72.4% | +12.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 25.1% | 14.0% | −11.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 16.5% | 6.5% | −9.9 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 20.4% | 30.3% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 38.8% | 47.2% | +8.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 18.2% | 10.9% | −7.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 11.9% | 4.7% | −7.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 89.4% | 83.8% | −5.6 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 36.3% | 30.8% | −5.5 |
| Elche | Relegation | 50.1% | 55.3% | +5.2 |
