Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Atlético Madrid with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 17 (before the first match) against those on February 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 75.1% | 61.2% | −14.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 57.3% | 44.9% | −12.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.6% | 25.8% | +12.2 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 72.8% | 62.3% | −10.4 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 32.4% | 42.4% | +10.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 33.3% | 40.2% | +6.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 44.2% | 49.8% | +5.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 23.0% | 17.6% | −5.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 11.7% | 16.7% | +5.0 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 15.3% | 20.2% | +4.9 |
