Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Levante with a 20.5% chance and Real Betis beat Villarreal with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on February 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 34.7% | 46.7% | +12.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 23.3% | 12.1% | −11.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 31.9% | 21.5% | −10.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 14.0% | 5.5% | −8.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 29.3% | 21.5% | −7.8 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 8.1% | 14.8% | +6.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 50.2% | 56.5% | +6.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 20.6% | 25.3% | +4.7 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 29.7% | 34.3% | +4.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 7.9% | 3.4% | −4.5 |
