Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.8% | 99.5% | +58.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 11.5% | 59.8% | +48.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 41.1% | 89.4% | +48.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.0% | 97.0% | +47.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 6.7% | 52.4% | +45.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 53.0% | 93.1% | +40.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 32.8% | <0.1% | −32.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 33.8% | 4.0% | −29.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 19.3% | 49.0% | +29.7 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 7.4% | 36.3% | +29.0 |
