Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 6 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | Relegation | 15.8% | 59.0% | +43.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 37.0% | 0.8% | −36.2 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 3.4% | 39.3% | +35.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 42.8% | 9.9% | −32.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 20.8% | 53.5% | +32.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 25.2% | 56.5% | +31.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 70.7% | 99.0% | +28.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 52.2% | 70.7% | +18.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 25.9% | 11.0% | −14.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 20.0% | 5.7% | −14.3 |
