Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Getafe with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 31 (before the first match) against those on January 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 37.0% | 25.8% | −11.3 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 24.1% | 15.9% | −8.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 57.6% | 64.5% | +7.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 43.7% | 36.8% | −6.9 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 62.2% | 68.4% | +6.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 31.7% | 37.1% | +5.4 |
| Elche | Relegation | 29.9% | 35.1% | +5.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 21.5% | 25.8% | +4.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 89.6% | 93.3% | +3.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 6.7% | 10.4% | +3.7 |
