Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 14 (before the first match) against those on January 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 68.0% | 24.3% | −43.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 45.5% | 77.1% | +31.6 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 51.4% | 80.4% | +29.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 50.5% | 79.4% | +28.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 23.3% | 6.1% | −17.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 74.9% | 90.3% | +15.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 7.5% | 22.4% | +14.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 14.8% | 0.2% | −14.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.2% | 57.4% | +14.2 |
| Elche | Relegation | 26.4% | 39.3% | +12.9 |