Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Villarreal with a 23.7% chance and Leganés beat Las Palmas with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 25.6% | 12.4% | −13.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 63.5% | 50.9% | −12.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.1% | 14.4% | −10.7 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 21.9% | 11.6% | −10.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.3% | 70.5% | +10.2 |
| Girona | Relegation | 32.3% | 42.2% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.2% | 16.4% | −8.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 48.2% | 56.9% | +8.7 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 18.3% | 26.6% | +8.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 43.5% | 51.8% | +8.2 |
