Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Levante with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 52.3% | 35.5% | −16.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 51.8% | 39.9% | −11.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 43.2% | 51.4% | +8.2 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 26.6% | 34.7% | +8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.5% | 63.2% | +7.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 13.9% | 21.3% | +7.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 50.9% | 57.2% | +6.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 17.3% | 11.1% | −6.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 56.9% | 63.0% | +6.1 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 18.3% | 24.4% | +6.1 |
