Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 53.8% | 36.7% | −17.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 52.4% | 64.4% | +12.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 37.3% | 25.8% | −11.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 30.1% | 40.0% | +9.9 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 30.1% | 20.8% | −9.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 19.3% | 28.3% | +9.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 15.5% | 7.0% | −8.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 11.9% | 17.9% | +6.1 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 17.5% | 11.5% | −6.0 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 14.9% | 8.9% | −5.9 |
