Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Leganés with a 17.8% chance and Las Palmas beat Málaga with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 38.0% | 24.3% | −13.7 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 28.4% | 14.9% | −13.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.8% | 52.4% | −11.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.1% | 52.8% | +9.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 44.4% | 53.8% | +9.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 19.9% | 29.1% | +9.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 70.3% | 78.3% | +8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.9% | 11.9% | −8.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 29.7% | 37.3% | +7.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 41.1% | 48.4% | +7.4 |
