Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Athletic Club with a 11.4% chance and Deportivo Alavés beat Eibar with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 9 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Europa League | 70.3% | 90.8% | +20.5 |
| Girona | Europa League | 20.7% | 8.9% | −11.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 10.6% | 5.0% | −5.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 46.5% | 41.8% | −4.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 98.8% | 95.2% | −3.6 |
