Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Valencia with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 15 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Europa League | 41.8% | 26.0% | −15.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 49.6% | 56.1% | +6.5 |
| Girona | Europa League | 8.9% | 14.5% | +5.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 5.6% | 1.1% | −4.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 95.2% | 98.8% | +3.6 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 90.8% | 94.2% | +3.4 |