Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Villarreal with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 2 (before the first match) against those on April 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Europa League | 47.4% | 70.3% | +22.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 62.3% | 47.6% | −14.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 10.4% | 2.8% | −7.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 53.8% | 46.5% | −7.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 92.3% | 98.7% | +6.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 4.5% | 10.6% | +6.1 |
| Girona | Europa League | 26.0% | 20.7% | −5.3 |
