Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Villarreal with a 21.7% chance and Real Betis beat Getafe with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Europa League | 23.7% | 47.4% | +23.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 73.5% | 62.3% | −11.2 |
| Girona | Europa League | 31.2% | 26.0% | −5.2 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 7.3% | 2.1% | −5.2 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 87.8% | 92.3% | +4.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 13.7% | 10.4% | −3.3 |
