Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Real Sociedad with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 12 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Europa League | 56.0% | 73.5% | +17.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 27.1% | 13.7% | −13.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 62.8% | 51.3% | −11.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 14.2% | 23.7% | +9.5 |
| Girona | Europa League | 38.4% | 31.2% | −7.2 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 81.3% | 87.8% | +6.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 92.0% | 97.5% | +5.5 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 8.0% | 3.9% | −4.1 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 3.4% | 7.3% | +4.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 8.7% | 5.1% | −3.7 |
