Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Espanyol with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 38.9% | 53.2% | +14.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 31.0% | 44.4% | +13.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.1% | 14.0% | −11.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 34.1% | 23.1% | −10.9 |
| Girona | Relegation | 33.8% | 23.9% | −9.9 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 18.7% | 28.4% | +9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.1% | 19.9% | −9.3 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 24.8% | 15.8% | −9.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 19.5% | 27.7% | +8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.7% | 63.8% | −7.9 |
