Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Getafe with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 5 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 50.5% | 27.1% | −23.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 42.5% | 56.0% | +13.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 68.2% | 81.3% | +13.2 |
| Girona | Europa League | 29.4% | 38.4% | +9.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 83.9% | 92.0% | +8.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 9.5% | 1.5% | −8.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 89.3% | 96.6% | +7.3 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 7.1% | 14.2% | +7.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 10.2% | 3.4% | −6.8 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 9.2% | 3.4% | −5.8 |
