Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Villarreal with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | Europa League | 13.7% | 29.4% | +15.7 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 55.1% | 42.5% | −12.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 55.7% | 67.3% | +11.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 89.9% | 97.0% | +7.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 9.6% | 2.5% | −7.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 10.0% | 2.9% | −7.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 83.7% | 89.3% | +5.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 14.8% | 10.2% | −4.7 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 10.6% | 7.1% | −3.5 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 12.6% | 9.2% | −3.4 |
