Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Villarreal with a 16.8% chance and Eibar beat Málaga with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 58.3% | 71.7% | +13.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 38.6% | 25.3% | −13.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 31.0% | 43.1% | +12.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 36.4% | 25.1% | −11.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 23.4% | 34.1% | +10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 52.4% | 62.9% | +10.6 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 34.7% | 24.8% | −9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 20.2% | 29.1% | +8.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 16.4% | 23.0% | +6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.1% | 31.0% | +5.9 |
