Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Sevilla with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on January 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 29.7% | 18.1% | −11.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 69.5% | 77.9% | +8.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 67.3% | 74.4% | +7.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 9.3% | 3.2% | −6.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 55.0% | 49.0% | −5.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 37.9% | 43.6% | +5.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 11.5% | 17.2% | +5.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 87.4% | 93.0% | +5.6 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 78.2% | 83.6% | +5.4 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 22.0% | 16.7% | −5.3 |
