Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Valencia with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 79.0% | 92.5% | +13.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 11.7% | 22.6% | +10.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 47.9% | 37.9% | −10.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 45.6% | 55.0% | +9.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 59.8% | 67.3% | +7.6 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 71.1% | 78.2% | +7.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 10.8% | 4.2% | −6.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 14.3% | 7.8% | −6.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 81.2% | 75.6% | −5.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 42.5% | 37.1% | −5.4 |
