Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 11 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Deportivo La CoruñaRelegation37.9%82.9%+44.9
Deportivo AlavésRelegation44.9%3.3%−41.6
MálagaRelegation50.0%90.6%+40.6
SevillaChampions League39.2%12.8%−26.4
VillarrealEuropa League30.1%52.5%+22.4
BarcelonaChampion74.0%94.5%+20.6
Real MadridChampions League79.1%95.8%+16.7
LevanteRelegation24.6%39.5%+14.8
Real MadridEuropa League18.1%3.9%−14.1
EibarRelegation13.8%<0.1%−13.8
Home 68.3%
Draw 19.5%
Away 12.2%
Home 45.0%
Draw 27.6%
Away 27.4%
Home 25.1%
Draw 26.3%
Away 48.6%
Home 75.4%
Draw 17.2%
Away 7.4%
Home 40.3%
Draw 29.4%
Away 30.2%
Home 42.0%
Draw 28.8%
Away 29.2%
Home 29.3%
Draw 28.8%
Away 41.8%
Home 79.4%
Draw 16.0%
Away 4.6%
Home 39.3%
Draw 29.8%
Away 30.8%
Home 22.6%
Draw 24.8%
Away 52.5%