Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Real Sociedad with a 10.2% chance and Girona beat Espanyol with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Relegation | 62.4% | 50.0% | −12.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 58.8% | 71.0% | +12.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 67.0% | 79.1% | +12.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 51.3% | 39.2% | −12.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 32.4% | 42.1% | +9.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 53.0% | 44.9% | −8.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 46.0% | 37.9% | −8.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 17.0% | 24.6% | +7.6 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 24.9% | 18.1% | −6.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 80.1% | 86.0% | +5.9 |
