Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Girona with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 34.4% | 46.0% | +11.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 41.0% | 51.3% | +10.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 63.0% | 53.0% | −10.0 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 66.2% | 58.8% | −7.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 18.8% | 12.1% | −6.7 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 20.3% | 13.7% | −6.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 74.5% | 80.1% | +5.6 |
| Girona | Relegation | 8.6% | 14.1% | +5.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 80.8% | 75.8% | −5.0 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 7.3% | 12.0% | +4.7 |
