Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Villarreal with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 30.8% | 18.8% | −12.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 63.5% | 74.5% | +11.0 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 30.3% | 20.3% | −10.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 31.7% | 41.0% | +9.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 54.3% | 63.0% | +8.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 10.6% | 15.5% | +4.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 22.9% | 18.7% | −4.3 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 56.2% | 60.2% | +4.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 10.6% | 6.8% | −3.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 8.3% | 4.8% | −3.5 |
