Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Real Madrid with a 15.0% chance and Málaga beat Celta Vigo with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 37.3% | 50.9% | +13.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 39.4% | 27.5% | −11.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 58.4% | 69.0% | +10.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 46.6% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 72.8% | 63.8% | −9.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 28.1% | 36.6% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 59.9% | 68.4% | +8.4 |
| Girona | Relegation | 27.0% | 18.6% | −8.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 66.3% | 57.9% | −8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 14.9% | 7.3% | −7.6 |
