Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 44.3% | 28.1% | −16.1 |
| Girona | Relegation | 39.4% | 27.0% | −12.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 49.5% | 59.9% | +10.5 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 31.0% | 37.3% | +6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 66.7% | 72.8% | +6.0 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 31.7% | 37.6% | +5.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.9% | 66.7% | +5.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 23.3% | 28.7% | +5.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 11.9% | 6.8% | −5.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.9% | 13.9% | −5.0 |
