Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Levante with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 55.7% | 42.7% | −13.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 36.6% | 26.6% | −10.1 |
| Girona | Relegation | 18.6% | 10.3% | −8.3 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 57.9% | 65.9% | +8.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 68.4% | 75.4% | +7.0 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 50.9% | 57.5% | +6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 17.1% | 22.9% | +5.9 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 40.8% | 46.1% | +5.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 29.5% | 33.8% | +4.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.8% | 68.0% | +4.2 |
